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Emotional Wellbeing Always Returns to Baseline

Major life changes produce sharp temporary shifts in mood. However, psychological research demonstrates that people consistently drift back to a stable baseline level of happiness.

The Claim

Major Gains and Losses Drift Back

Classic observational studies tracked people who won major lotteries alongside those who suffered paralyzing injuries. Within years, both groups reported happiness levels remarkably close to their original baselines.

The Evidence

The Baseline Is Not Completely Fixed

Broader long-term survey data shows adaptation is incomplete. Severe events like chronic unemployment or the loss of a spouse can permanently shift an individual's baseline wellbeing downward.

The Limits

What Could Disprove the Treadmill Model

The treadmill theory holds unless research proves specific daily practices permanently alter set points. Demonstrating lasting baseline increases without genetic changes would require revising the entire model.

The Outlook

Idea

Happiness Baselines Persist After Major Life Events

Psychological research shows that major gains and losses rarely alter long-term personal wellbeing.

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